The Presidential campaign is rather meaningless to Wyoming.
It doesn’t matter whether the Republican nominee is Donald Trump, Bobby Jindal,
or Deez Nuts, Wyoming’s three electoral votes will be in that column come
November. Getting worked up about it is fruitless whether you’re a Wyoming
Democrat or a Wyoming Republican.
So then, why is our lone Congressman endorsing a candidate
who has no chance to win her Party’s nomination? Lummis is quoted on Senator
Rand Paul’s website saying it’s because “Rand Paul will do what he says.”
He says he’ll limit the number of terms Lummis and other
members of Congress can serve. Wyoming’s voters won’t even do that. Paul says
he’ll repeal the tax code and replace it with a 14.5% flat tax, privatization
of Medicare, and a 70-year-old retirement age. Great news for Lummis. She lives
in the rarified air of the wealthy. Not near so good for most of Lummis’s
working family and elderly constituents as Lummis’s tax burden is shifted to
them even as the federal budget deficit is increased by hundreds of billions of
dollars.
Aside from that, Deez Nuts and Jeb Bush have better shots at
the nomination than Senator Paul. Wyoming voters might ask, what’s in it for us
to have our sole Congressman endorse him? Lummis says, “He believes in the right of states like Wyoming to manage
their resources without Washington obstruction.” Which GOP candidate doesn’t?
What would the Republicans talk about if a President stopped trying to “manage”
the resources of a state whose lands are more than 50% owned by the feds.
Maybe that endorsement does as much for Wyoming as Lummis’s
membership in the House Freedom Caucus. Has that done anything for you lately?
Most Wyoming politicians shy away from endorsing
Presidential candidates. It’s not often helpful to them or Wyoming. Although
Bill Clinton came with a 5% margin of defeating George H.W. Bush in Wyoming, some
might argue that endorsing Clinton in 1992 cost Governor Mike Sullivan and
Secretary of State Kathy Karpan their bids for higher office two years later,
Sullivan for the U.S. Senate and Karpan for the Governorship.
The real problem is that we have as close to no leverage as
a state can get. There are 2,470 delegates to the GOP national convention.
Wyoming has 29, slightly less than 1.2% of the total.
If that paucity of delegates ever means anything, it might be
toward the end when only a few candidates remain and a handful of Wyoming
delegate votes might make the difference. That
happened once. It was 1960. It was the contest for the Democratic Party’s
nomination for President. The convention was held in Los Angeles. The
candidates were many. Lyndon Johnson, John F. Kennedy, George Smathers, Stuart Symington, Adlai
Stevenson, Robert Meyner, and Ross Barnett.
The roll was called in alphabetical
order. Wyoming was last. In those days, national conventions were not
orchestrated around preordained candidates. As the roll was called, no one
could predict the winner. Wyoming had a miniscule 15
votes, slightly fewer than 1% of the total. By the time the clerk got around to
asking for Wyoming’s vote, John Kennedy was 11 votes short of the nomination. Seven
of Wyoming’s delegates were already committed to Kennedy. He needed just four
more to become the nominee.
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